‘Bricks and Mortar’ Security

The Great British love affair with property and the unwavering belief that, whatever else happens in the world, good old ‘bricks and mortar’ will always be there to save the day, evidently remains undiminished. The major banks have based a huge part of their entire existence on using real estate assets as security and judging by the recent crop of pre-Christmas authorisations granted to some P2P platforms– LandBay, Landlord Invest, Folk2Folk to name just three examples – that same underlying faith would seem to extend to the FCA.

As one of the many established platforms still waiting in the queue for the ‘green light’ from the FCA, it is galling to be watching from the sidelines. Sour grapes, possibly. But it does raise the legitimate argument about what should represent acceptable security for P2P loans – something that we know has been taxing the mind of the regulator.

My motive in raising the subject is not to ‘rubbish’ the intrinsic value of UK property as an asset, but rather to question its suitability for the task in every situation. Security is based on two fundamentals: you need an asset against which you can formally register an interest; and you need an asset that can readily be converted into cash at or close to valuation should the need arise.

A property – be it a house, a flat, office building or hotel – undoubtedly retains a value and ownership can indeed be registered. But the accuracy of the valuation is not so certain, especially in a forced sale situation or where development forms a significant part of the proposition. At the end of the day, a property is worth what someone else is prepared to pay for it. In house ownership, for example, I suspect we are all guilty of expecting to sell our own property at the top, but to buy someone else’s place at rock bottom. We are often wrong on both counts. And the longer a property takes to sell, the more detrimental it is likely to be to the valuation.

house-for-sale

Many ordinary people know what it feels like to be trapped in negative equity, especially if they are not party to the lucrative property game that operates in London or one of the other UK ‘sweet spots’. Reality is often far removed from mega deals that make the headlines and which are usually accessible to only a privileged few. Property assets with this potential are most unlikely to form part of the security used to back P2P loans.

It is a fallacy that all property lending is secure and suitable for retail.

On the other hand, assets such as sales invoices are designed to convert readily into cash; it is their sole purpose. You can’t live in them or run your business from them, but they can be registered at Companies House, they do have a face value and that value can be underpinned by credit insurance. Hopefully, one day this will be recognised by the regulator.

Perilous Times For Pension Pots… Not Necessarily

A choir formed of politicians, journalists and disgruntled employees continue to call for Sir Phillip Green to get his cheque book out to plug the £700m pension deficit at BHS. The once well regarded retail magnate sold the now bust British department store for £1, but not before he and his shareholders paid themselves more than £400m in dividends. It is unlikely that Green – worth an estimated US$5.7 Billion – will sort out this mess; and so blameless pensioners who can ill afford to lose a pound will be left out of pocket. Sadly, this tragic story is no anomaly; 130,000 Tata Steel employees stand to lose a quarter of their retirement income. The devastation that this will inflict on families, from Tyneside to Port Talbot, is huge and will last at least a generation.

Corporate irresponsibility can cripple pension funds, however it is the Bank of England’s latest move – cutting interest rates and beginning a new £70bn quantitative easing programme – that will cause pensioners considerable pain. By buying gilts – instruments pension schemes use to value their liabilities –  the BoE is forcing yields down. “The UK’s benchmark 10-year borrowing rates touched a new low of 0.51% last week; while short-dated gilts due in March 2019 and March 2020 briefly traded below zero” (The Financial Times, 2016). As a result, we are now running a £1.3trn deficit on private pension funding, with 56 FTSE-100 firms in arrears with their defined-benefit pension schemes (MoneyWeek, 2016).

 

bond yield plunge

(Source: The Financial Times, Aug-10, 2016)

 

According to David Blake from London’s Cass Business School, “The Bank of England clearly believes that the effect [of low interest rates] on our pension system is acceptable long-term collateral damage”. Indeed, until monetary conditions normalise, the outlook for retirees will remain gruesome. There is, however, a faint glimmer of hope. A beacon around which pensioners and savers alike can rally to make impressive returns. P2P.

pension pot

Thanks to the ‘freedom and choice’ introduced to Britain’s pension systems, you can invest in P2P through a Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP) and soon via ISAs. If you’d like to take control of your pension pot, earn above average interest, and enjoy substantial tax benefits – all the while helping great British businesses grow – investing through a SIPP one of the P2P platforms could be for you. Rates of interest vary as do levels of security, careful research will indicate which platform and it could easily be more than one best suits your needs. Next week ArchOver will release a step-by-step guide, detailing how SIPPs work, who can set one up (anyone), and how you can use this flexible investment product to invest in P2P.

New Ideas, Polar Bears and Praise for the FCA’s Approach to P2P Lending

Thought provoking piece in CAPX by Jamie Whyte challenging the new “intellectual protectionists” who, unless we are careful will stifle change and growth, make everything cuddly and bankrupt us in the process. If we accept only the perceived wisdom of today and make it an offence to suggest anything else, yes some supposedly clever people really have suggested that we’ll stagnate.

 

Contrast the approach of making denial of climate change a criminal offence, with the active approach taken by the FCA to P2P lending as reported in Business Insider. The ingenuity of a lot of people is being encouraged and a sector carved out of the banking industry, which is and will continue, there’s an awfully long way to go yet, to provide better service to consumers. Of course the real contrast for the FinTech sector is not with the polar bear, but between the US and the UK. The UK has the white heat of the revolution, echoes of Coalbrookdale from an earlier industrial revolution, and with continued acceptance of new ideas by regulators and financiers will keep it.

polar bear

 

I’m not suggesting that everything is perfect, rightly there is concern that lenders (or investors in FCA speak) fully understand the risks they are taking. A recent survey suggests that the message is being heard. As a sector we need to continue to reinforce the message heard by those in the dark blue sectors and work, with the FCA, on the lighter blue. What we need is continued consultation, a continuation of the active approach to regulation and a fuller analysis of the security provided by P2P lenders. A move away from a concentration on the nebulous and usually unquantifiable concept of risk to security provided.

consumer perception p2p photo 

For the record I don’t deny climate change, it is real, although I suspect it and its effects have been overstated. As for Germaine Greer, see the CAPX article, I agree with little she says and she has an absolute right to say it and to be heard. Only by hearing can we be challenged to change and develop and yes this may at times be very uncomfortable and much less than cuddly. C’est la vie.