Why P2P Platforms are Slowly Usurping Traditional Savings Accounts

The prospect of boosted savings returns has seen traditional savers become SME lenders through Peer to Peer lending platforms. In fact they are flocking in their masses, and both the banks and building societies are running scared. The Yorkshire Building Society has taken particular umbrage at what it views as “bad investment decisions” and “would urge anyone considering riskier investments such as P2P or equity-based investment to take independent financial advice before doing so”, according to a scaremongering article in the Daily Telegraph. It’s worth noting that such “independent financial advice” can of course be received at the Yorkshire Building Society for any Telegraph readers particularly affected by what they had read.

Usurping

Yet it is hardly a surprise that the banks are launching their own counter offensive: they are losing out on bucket loads of low cost capital. The implementation of the Innovative Finance ISA next year should see even more switch to P2P lending, as they will be afforded tax breaks on profits earnt through peer to peer lending platforms.  This is obviously good news for all the platforms, but is better news for existing lenders who should see more security as the money comes in.

Whilst there are risks when investing through Crowdlending websites, the larger platforms are doing everything they can to mitigate the risk to ensure that they can offer savers a viable alternative to banks. RateSetter, in my view, have the best offering from the big players. They have operated a provision fund since 2010 that proudly boasts a 100% record of reimbursing investors who have lost their money when a borrower has defaulted on repaying a loan. The fund contains over £16 million, offering more than 150% cover against claims. Every borrower contributes to the fund by paying a compulsory fee when they agree to lend over the platform, and should a default occur, the money is paid back in full. Should the fund become depleted for any reason, all outstanding loans would be redirected to the provision fund and pooled repayments would be shared back proportionately to investors to ensure they aren’t fully exposed to a particular default. To put this in perspective: the government guarantees the banks at the cost of the taxpayer. Furthermore, the guarantee only pays out if the bank goes bust and then only to up £75k. If a P2P platform fails, the FCA’s rules dictate there’s always an alternate supplier who will run off the loan book.

My response to Yorkshire Building Society’s view that investors are entering peer to peer lending with their eyes closed would be to say that investors are in fact more likely to act cautiously when lending across online platforms. People should always question what looks at face value and exceptionally good rate, and should always choose an investment on the value of its security first and foremost. There are enough platforms who operate provision funds, and who also demand borrowers take out credit insurance or in some cases personal guarantees. Transparency is, and should be, prioritised above all else; it is hard for banks to argue that platforms are complicated to use when it was the banks themselves that propounded the concept of “borrow short term, lend long term”, a notion that stimulated the financial crisis and the demise of the likes of Bear Stearns. P2P lenders instead advocate a “lend for 12 months, borrow for 12 months” policy that is wholly transparent. And with no leverage used to facilitate the loans, arguably the two major structural causes of the financial crisis won’t be an issue for Peer to Peer lenders.

Whilst more money is poured into Peer to Peer lending platforms, the alternative finance industry as a whole will see some consolidation as well. The bigger companies will obviously continue to get bigger, but the consolidation will also help smaller players offering niche services to replace traditional banking facilities such as invoice discounting and property lending. The result? More streamlined, better-run companies who prioritise lender security and endeavour to minimalize the risk for regular individual investors, who can offer a viable alternative to those sick of the miserable rates offered by banks, but without the appetite for investing in the risky world of stocks and shares.

Moreover, institutions with a low cost of money, such as family offices, schools and county councils, will be drawn into investing over peer to peer lending platforms rather than leaving their money to stagnate in bank accounts. Local government treasurers would be particularly keen to lend to platforms that subsequently lend the money to constituents or local SMEs in an attempt to further support their local community. This could see an increase in localized Peer to Peer lending companies such as Folk2Folk, who operate solely in the West Country.

The result of all this? Bad news for banks, good news for savers and SMEs.

piggyBank

Crowdlending, Crowdfunding and Football

Generating a sufficiently large cloud of individual investors is one of the major obstacles for any young crowdfunding or crowdlending platform. Myfootballclub.com, however, didn’t have that problem: founded in April 2007, by November the “Society” of members was 20,000 strong, eventually growing to more than 50,000 members. They soon completed the takeover of Ebbsfleet United FC and through raising the profile of the club were able to save it from debt and eventually win a trophy, all the while allowing the fans to democratically involve themselves with the day to day running of the club. The transfers and playing budget were crowdfunded and members could vote on matters ranging from kit sponsorship to team selection. Yet membership numbers started to decline as interest dwindled, and eventually the club was taken over by a Kuwait-based consortium who cleared the urgent debts of £100,000. Funding Ebbsfleet United entirely through a crowd had temporary benefits, but ultimately the financial commitment was insufficient. Myfootballclub was ultimately about enthusiasts indulging in a hobby rather than investors making money. However, surely there is an opportunity to combine the two?

ebbsfleetunited-750x330

Football fans are an odd bunch. Aspirational to the point of delusion, insatiably demanding and harbouring passion that borders on neurosis, they would be the type of shareholders every director of any other business would swim through hot acid to avoid. For fans, a chairman who is deemed to run a football club “as a business” is the paradigmatic taboo. The Premier League’s inception saw England’s game of the masses catapulted into a corporate beast that at its best has the power to transcend cultural, geographic, racial and religious boundaries and at its worst has torn the game away from the working class who cannot afford the cable subscription to watch it on the television, let alone the ticket prices to watch it live.

barclays-premier-league-logo
The “corporate beast” of the Premier League…

 

Yesterday, the definitive “beast” of English corporate football, Manchester United, appointed a former director of Ladbrokes PLC into the newly created position of Chief Financial Officer at the club. For a club (business) valued by Forbes at $3.1 billion, the creation of such a crucial position in every other business seems massively overdue. The title may only be a ceremonial amalgamation of what has existed before, yet the position of CFO firmly entrenches the corporate structure that fans see as the scourge of modern football. The disenfranchisement felt by certain factions led to the creation of FC United of Manchester, a club run solely by the fans. It remains to be seen whether the club can keep the democratic structure as it moves up the leagues, when raw enthusiasm is won’t be enough to withstand the financial constraints.

Yet running a football club in a sensible, corporate manner can bring rich reward, on and off the pitch. Take Swansea City, a team who avoided relegation from the football league in the most dramatic of circumstances having been rescued from liquidation months earlier by a hastily assembled consortium. A member of that same consortium, lifelong fan Huw Jenkins, was appointed Chairman within a year. Within ten years, the club had an annual profit of £14.6 million, had won the League Cup and most importantly was established in the Premier League.

What, then, can offer a blend between the unavoidable corporate structures that a club needs to take advantage of the huge popularity of football, and the necessity to give some power back to the fans? For me, the answer could be crowdlending.  Allowing fans to earn interest on money lent to their football club will offset the spiralling costs of going to games and cable television subscription. The clubs themselves would benefit from the publicity, as Ebbsfleet did, and receive finance from lenders who understand the club, without putting too much power in the hands of the uninitiated. Yes, there are problems: clubs would have to be very cautious not to exploit the trust of the erstwhile fan, and would have to ensure that the loan can be paid back with revenue that is both unaffected by performance and is guaranteed income over a structured term. Moreover, authoritative bodies such as the Football League and Premier League will be quick to put pressure on any practices that put a club at higher risk of liquidation. Yet the opportunity for fans to use crowdlending platforms to support football clubs financially would benefit all involved and ensure that football clubs can give back more to fans.

 

Productivity, Interest Rates and SMEs

[avatar]

Last week, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) announced that productivity in the UK grew at the fastest rate in four years, finally exceeding the pre-economic crisis levels of 2007. A rise in productivity is significant because it is seen as a crucial measure of an economy’s strength and future GDP growth, taking in to account living standards, capital and labour resources. For too long the UK has lagged behind the other G7 countries in terms of productivity: this looks set to continue despite the good news, as gains in productivity are offset by persisting low confidence in UK manufacturing. The incoming UK minimum wage hike will also have a marked effect on productivity as labour hours will cost businesses more.

So what is the effect of macroeconomic productivity on small businesses? Productivity is a key measure that the Bank of England uses to determine interest rates, which are currently kept at record lows. There has been a huge amount of speculation as to when the interest rates will be increased and this news should support those who think a rate hike will be sooner rather than later. Small businesses looking to borrow money will be amongst those monitoring the situation, particularly those with loans with a variable rate. However, the Bank of England typically follows the lead of the US Federal Reserve when altering the interest rates, and it is hard to see any great change any time soon. In the current uncertain global financial and geopolitical climate, analysts are not predicting the first rate rise until spring next year. When that does happen, Mark Carney, the Bank of England’s governor, has stated that increases will be “limited and gradual”. Any changes will take time to filter through to the real economy and SMEs in particular.

productivity
Increased UK productivity will be good news to the Bank of England

A raise in productivity is undoubtedly a good sign the UK economy is finally dragging itself out of the doldrums, yet we are still 18% worse than we would have been if the pre-crisis productivity rates had been maintained. It is not just a case of everyone working a bit harder; investment in public infrastructure and fiscal policy will be the defining factors that will hopefully see the UK catching up with everybody else. Small businesses can expect to benefit from increased productivity and subsequent better living standards for its workers, but should be carefully monitoring an imminent interest rate hike when budgeting for the next couple of years.

Demystifying Peer to Peer Lending

[avatar]

Following on from the two posts that explain equity and reward based crowdfunding, we move on to debt-based crowdlending, also known as Peer to Peer (P2P) lending, sometimes Market Place lending and in FCA speak as debt based investing. For brevity I’ll use P2P, although this is somewhat confusing as some of the borrowers are businesses, or P2B. A newcomer to alternative finance, whether it be through conversation or news, is more likely to have heard of crowdfunding, largely due to press interest in that specific area of FinTech and in particular the innovative crowd raises that businesses and individuals have employed. Yet in the UK, the P2P lending industry is worth just under £4.5 billion, compared to £132.5 million cumulative total raised through crowdfunding. Borrowers are attracted by a less clunky process that is competitively priced and easy to use. The vast range of alternative finance solutions available means that both businesses and consumers can find a loan tailored to their needs. Lenders, meanwhile, are drawn to the sweet spot of statistically lower risk investment at interest rates that go beyond the bounds of anything offered by a bank.

The P2P lending sphere can be broadly broken down into three categories: P2P consumer loans, P2P business loans and invoice financing. The biggest player in the consumer loans market is Zopa, who are the oldest and arguably the biggest alternative finance company in the world. They have lent over £1 billion to consumers at an average loan size of £7,500, offering investors a return of 5%. Every consumer loans company is only as good as their borrowers; Zopa have reported 0.04% actual defaults so far this year, a figure which is made even lower by the Zopa Safeguard Trust which helps pay-out in case of bad debts. The fund is taken from the fee that each borrower pays when their loan is approved. Another of the major P2P consumer lenders, RateSetter, have their own provision fund to help bail out lenders to borrowers who have defaulted. RateSetter operate a platform that allows lenders and borrowers to pair up through a process of bidding, over four set term lengths. The model has proved very popular with both individuals who appreciate the transparency of the loan structure and lenders enjoy decent interest rates. RateSetter also offer business loans in the region of £25k to £1 million.

demist

The business lending market is diverse for both investors and borrowers; loan size, terms, length, funding and structure vary from platform to platform. Just dipping a toe into the water in terms of range and variety, you can facilitate finance for property loans through Assetz Capital, Wellesley have their own listed bond that offer lenders 4.75% per annum over three years or 5.5% per annum over five, Folk to Folk specialise in regional lending in the South-West, Landbay secure lenders’ money against residential mortgages, MarketInvoice and Platform Black allow investors to access funds in outstanding invoices and factoring. The list goes one: the Best place to explore the full array of P2P operators and the services they provide is on the AltFi news website. The banks do not appear to have the will or resources to compete, despite their own admission that most of the platforms are supplying an updated version of services that they have provided for years.

Mitigate the risks and P2P Lending is a fantastic way to save wisely whilst helping SMEs and consumers drive UK economic growth. The incoming Alternative Finance ISA will bring in a whole host of new lenders; it is crucial that the industry is properly regulated and that platforms adapt sufficiently to ensure that the optimism continues.