Industry Profitability

Throwing huge sums of money at a new or particular market in order to achieve dominance is nothing new. The corporate landscape is littered with the financial corpses of over-zealous entrepreneurs who hurtled down the growth path without sparing a thought for the day of reckoning when someone – usually one of the backers – pauses to ask when all this investment is going to result in a profit. The ‘jam tomorrow’ argument eventually wears thin.

Some commentators are already starting to pose the question in relation to the long term future of Alternative Finance providers, including P2P business lenders like ArchOver. It is a fair question since it is no secret that the largest players in the sector – companies like Funding Circle, Ratesetter and Zopa – have all posted bumper losses as if there was some kind competition running to see which of them could lose the most money fastest. The observation that the vast majority of Altfi operators have never been through an economic recession is equally true. Eventually, the music has to stop and there will be some casualties, at which point the pundits will doubtless have a field day.

profitability

In the meantime, it is not for us to question the wisdom of others in our sector – we can only speak on our own account. The dash for growth at the expense of profitability or, more importantly, quality has not been the ArchOver way because there has been no need to adopt such a strategy. We are not under pressure from voracious venture capitalists who simply want their money back plus a massive return for their trouble. ArchOver is backed by a 300 year-old institution with a proud reputation to maintain – something infinitely more precious than making a fast buck.

ArchOver’s approach to the vital due diligence processes, backed by the ‘Secured and Insured’ model, not only works, but has been seen to work. £25m of loans facilitated over two years with no losses and no arrears is a considerable achievement. Whether individuals, family offices or small institutions, all of our lenders have been treated equally and have received exactly what they were told to expect at the outset.

On the flip side, borrowers over the ArchOver platform have been treated fairly, with no nasty surprises in terms of hidden fees or charges. The fact that many have returned to seek more finance is testimony to the appeal of our business model and the way in which they have been treated by the team.

 

Was it acceptable in the 80’s?

So the results are in, we have stood up as a nation to be counted and the surprise result is that rose tinted nostalgia seems to have taken us in a direction none expected – back to the golden era of the 80’s. There’s the funny side of course, big hair, even bigger shoulder pads and at the end of the decade enormous mobile phones. Of course it’s the bleaker side that’s worrisome; British soldiers on the streets of the UK, 3m+ unemployed, a surrogate civil war with the miners……That’s said, the effect that had on asset prices was only beneficial to the humble man on the street  and you could get married, buy a house and an Aston Martin, as a poorly paid Chartered Accountant ( I know I did ). Pity about all that equity that might go to waste and for those who came along later and paid higher prices.

 

brexit flags

 

What we didn’t have in the 1980s, or at anytime until this decade and really only the last couple of years in anything approaching a measurable volume was an AltFi sector. A real alternative provider of finance that may just keep the economy going through this particular period of uncertainty and beyond.

 

Substantially AltFi was born of the last financial crisis; a hunger for yield from those with cash and a need / want to borrow from people and businesses. Some of us saw this opportunity and established businesses that arch over from the lenders to the borrowers. The problem is that the sector while growing very quickly in macro economic terms remains small when compared with the banks. Mind you much micro economic theory, some of it written and tried in the 1980s, suggests that the biggest effect can be had on the margin, deploying relatively small amounts of money.

 

What might this mean; the banks continue to carry the base load in value terms and AltFi provides finance alongside. The banks continue to lend to the larger corporates and AltFi takes more of the personal lending and the lending to small and medium sized enterprises. This of course is what has been happening over the last seven or eight years. I expect that our sector, the AltFi sector has just received a boost. Crisis makes us all more cautious, makes us retreat to where we feel most comfortable. For the banks that’s corporate lending for AltFi its SMEs and personal lending. So we’ll both be playing to our strengths, working in the areas we know like and understand.

 

One other thing makes me more optimistic; increasingly AltFi and the banks are working together. We’ve moved from a position of say three years ago, when we, metaphorically, spat at each other to one today where we’ve realised that we provide different services and should therefore work together. Working together we’ll get the UK economy through this crisis, maybe without it even becoming a crisis, and forge a larger more robust AltFi sector in the process.

 

24th Hour Failure (To finish first, first you have to finish)

This weekend saw a huge disappointment in the ’24 Hours of Le Mans’ race, leaving the Toyota team questioning what happened, to watch success slip away in the last 3 minutes of this gruelling challenge, was heart-breaking for those involved and the most fascinating viewing for the interested spectator and commentator. 

Ultimately, it appears that one vital element led to the subsequent defeat, and handed the victory to the consistently tried and tested model of their competitors in the Porsche team. On what was the most important day in the calendar with glory a single lap away the failure of one part of the package turned the whole effort into embarrassment and widespread press coverage for all the wrong reasons.

Great story – but what does this have to do with the P2P space…..? A lot of common themes and messages can be taken from this story 

Let’s look at the top teams on the starting grid in the race……they all had roughly the same size team behind them, with what at face value appeared to be the same skill set and knowledge. All of the cars looked pretty identical from the outside, bar the different splashes of colours identifying their team allegiance so why would one fail so spectacularly at the critical moment?

The answer lies under the bonnet – look at all the components, the chassis, the aero package, the engines etc.  perhaps at a glance they look the same but they are not. It’s the whole package that must be fit for purpose, if 1% isn’t then abject failure will result. That elusive, in the case of Toyota, 1%, became the difference between success and failure, being lorded in the press or blasted for a simple error of judgement and engineering.

24 hour le mans

The alternative finance sector is seen by most on the outside as one identical group of organisations, all competing under their own branded team colours for the same purpose and all on the starting grid in identical vehicles. Lift the bonnet however and you’ll see huge differences that will optimise an organisation to success, or cause them to crash out of the sector in a blaze of (non) glory.


Unlike the image of the homogenised group of lenders, grouped together in the media and by less informed bystanders under the title ‘P2P’ there are actually numerous variations of platform, offering, expert teams and niche areas all operating in this field. Each has their own reason to believe they should be first across the line, many will stumble at the first hurdle due to lack of due diligence and not robust enough offerings or platforms. Some will look like they are in it for the win, only to fall foul to that elusive 1% of information, security or expertise and simply roll across the finish line in failure place (there’s no second or third) – to the delight of the watching crowd – who want to be entertained by stories of failure.

 

Please visit www.archover.com to find out more about our winning proposition.

 

Why Late Payments are an SME’s worst nightmare

The Market Invoice presentation on late payment brought back into focus the traditional scourge of the SME. Whilst I think that invoice finance and factoring are definitely not the way to finance a business struggling with late payment, the presentation certainly made interesting viewing.

I thought I would add a few points to prove just how damaging late payment can be for SMEs, but first it is worth stressing that a term loan from an alternative finance provider with a light touch approach is the best solution for an SME suffering with late payment from their debtors. A term loan through an alternative finance provider can help SMEs facilitate finance quickly, without hassle and with tailored solutions. The banks’ turnaround time often takes one year plus; through AltFi borrowers can receive the funds within a couple of months. As the banks increasingly funnel more business to AltFi providers, the industry is slowly gaining the respect it deserves. However, this should not extend to invoice financing. It is the crack cocaine of finance, incredibly difficult to shirk and once the cycle is entrenched an SME will find it very hard to escape from.

Back to late payment…

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were owed £26.8bn as of July according to Bacs. In attempting to recover this debt, these businesses are spending £10.8bn a year. This downward spiral causes many SMEs to go into panic mode, fuelled by the fear of losing reputation and offending customers when chasing payment. And as approximately 99% of businesses nationwide fall into the category of SMEs, this is a major drag on the economy.

According to a Zurich poll one in five SMEs reported that they are owed more than £25,000, one in 10 more than £100,00 and more than 43,000 SMEs are owed more than £1 million. The affect for an SME? Expansion in terms of cash flow and hiring staff is inhibited and most importantly up to 130 hours of valuable time is wasted per year chasing invoices which could be used effectively elsewhere.

Existing legislation is supposed to provide SMEs with assistance; late payments can be recouped according to the Late Payment of Commercial Debts Act (1998). From an outside perspective this may seem like the answer to an SME’s problems; however 58% of SMEs say that they will not claim compensation for any late payment even though they are legally entitled to this. Once again the fears of the losing business and ruining relationships far outweigh the immediate compensation in terms of cash. The solution? Everybody pay on time – fat chance. The tonic to sooth the pain can come in the form of alternative finance providers such as peer-to-peer lenders who understand the needs of SMEs and can provide practical solutions to real problems.