A Response to Robert Reoch’s article on The Growth Outlook for Market Place Lending

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Thomson Reuters recently published an informative blog post in which Robert Reoch offered his views on the “growth outlook for marketplace lending.”

In his role as Global Head of Products and Strategy at Crowdnetic, a provider of technology and market data solutions to marketplace lending companies (MPLs), Robert is part of a team which aims to educate investors and institutions on the direction in which the  alternative finance industry is moving. MPLs have been quick to offer an alternative finance source to SMEs, providing a service distinct from the antiquated and costly financing options that banks in particular had been providing. And as the industry has grown, innovation by FinTech companies has seen the provision of increasingly niche and bespoke services, as competitors attempt to stand out from the crowd and bid to woo investors. Yet I agree with Robert’s statement that “there is real economic benefit for banks to actively collaborate with MPLs” in order to attract prospective borrowers.

MPL subsets

The MPLs that are most successful could be those that actively maintain a symbiotic relationship with a specific bank or banks. The banks would provide the MPL with a network of suitable borrowers who at the moment just aren’t aware of the opportunities out there.In return, as pointed out by Robert, banks can keep their fee-paying client “without the associated balance sheet and the capital cost”. In light of such exposure, the cost is minimal for the MPL, who would also save on often unnecessary and expensive advertising campaigns, especially as a much smaller group of institutions rather than a large pack of individuals is increasingly seen as the future of the ‘crowd’. This in turn helps Borrowers, who can receive funding faster and with a lessened prospect of a project going unfunded.

MPL bank lending

As Robert alluded to, it remains to be seen how much of the enormous market MPLs can gain access to. After all, a percentage point or two would transform the MPL industry and create a flood of funding to SMEs. The timing couldn’t be better. UK business lending from banks in June 2015 saw the sharpest fall – almost £5.5 billion – in at least four years (since records began). And with SMEs positioned as the main drivers of UK GDP, it is in the best interest of all involved that these businesses receive the finance they need to grow. Marketplace lending companies will be chomping at the bit to fill the void left by the banks; it remains to be seen when the shift happens.

Inflation / Deflation and the Great British Shopper

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Deflation, or indeed the threat of deflation is supposed to defer spending as people wait for prices to fall before making purchases. With inflation at or very near to 0% the risk of deflation is high.

Economists and the Bank of England are divided on how to address the threat of deflation. Traditionally a rise in interest rates will cool inflation and the economy with it. And a cut stimulates the economy as it drives up demand. So what to do.

It seems shoppers may have rescued the economists from their dilemma and……gone shopping. As the FT reported:

“Britons went on a shopping spree last month as prices on the High St fell by the most on record, dispelling fears that the UK is on the brink of a deflationary downward spiral”

Hooray for the Great British shopper!!!

Is Digital (Currency) the Future Financial System?

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The Crowd might just be paving the way for a significant change in traditional financial systems, I am specifically talking here about crypto currency and P2P lending.

The world we live in today revolves around currency and what can be traded with that currency. Traditionally these currencies are centralised and controlled by governments – the most widely used being the US dollar. The internet has given birth to decentralised crypto currencies the most recognised and one of the pioneers being Bitcoin.

Six years on Bitcoins (and its many variants) are still ‘relatively’ uncommon within online communities as a stable and usable currency for trade. However, P2P lending could be about to change this with a raft of new platforms entering the market to capitalise on what they see as a huge opportunity.

Bitbond, BTCjam and BitLendingClub are just some of the first to allow Bitcoin owners to lend and receive interest on their virtual currency. The platforms see their mission as connecting individual lenders looking for attractive returns with borrowers looking for accessible and affordable loans.

In emerging economies like Mexico and India it is very difficult for citizens to obtain affordable loans. For example, in Brazil the interest rate for a personal loan can easily reach 200% whilst ‘bureaucratic hoops’ make the application process a painful and lengthy one.

Through the completely global, independent and digital currency like Bitcoin these new platforms can facilitate fast and cheap transactions overcoming the boundaries between countries. They have even developed peer-to-peer reputation systems in lieu of traditional credit scores to qualify borrowers across the world and allow them to build a transparent credit profile.

It might be early days but decentralised crypto currencies are here to stay and Bitcoin is set to become a player in P2P lending.